I am rushing through security as news break that North Korea
authorized a light nuclear strike on the U.S. Equity markets in South Korea
plunged on the reports and it prompted the Pentagon to deploy anti-missile
defense systems to Guam. This is the strongest indication that the U.S. takes
current North Korean threats extremely serious and U.S. Defense Secretary Hagel
stated North Korea posed a ‘real and clear danger’.
The developments will give business a tremendous boost, but
we need to make some adjustments in order to take full advantage of the crisis.
South Korea, unfortunately allied with the U.S., has the most to fear as it
continues its annual joint military drills with the U.S. and houses 28,500
American troops in South Korea. Threats from North Korea are nothing new, but
the regime of Kim Jong Un seems to be more aggressive than his fathers.
Kim Jong Un, only 30 years young, is trying to prove his strength
and the biggest threat is that he may interpret actions taken by South Korea or
the U.S. as extremely hostile and will retaliate with vengeance. The deployment
of the Terminal High Altitude Area Defense System or THAAD to Guam may be
enough provocation for North Korea to engage. The U.S. and North Korea never
signed a peace treaty and are technically still at war.
North Korea cancelled the armistice it signed with South
Korea and opened the door for military conflict with its southern neighbor as
it may attempt to reunite Korea under its leadership. Hopes for a peaceful diplomatic
solution were crushed after North Korea gave South Korea until April 10th
to clear the Kaesong Industrial Park which is jointly operated by both
countries. Experts including our own CMO as well as me have all reported that
the closure of Kaesong may mark the start of a military campaign.
The nuclear threat was basically ignored until today when
the North authorized a light nuclear strike which means that North Korean scientists
may have developed means to make a much smaller nuclear warhead and add it to
its conventional warheads in order to create a hybrid nuclear warhead. Either
way it is clear that North Korean threats are very serious and today’s authorization
for war by North Korea is not to be ignored.
North Korea has started to move its missile batteries
towards the coast as the North Korean military prepares for war and told South
Koreans living in Baengnyeong, a border island, to prepare for the worst. South
Korea, backed by the rapidly faltering U.S., hopes that the U.S. will assist
them in a full-out war with the North. A believe which may be crucial to their
defeat.
The U.S. may flex its non-existing muscle through speech and
hopes that it will be enough to scare off North Korea, but everyone knows that
the U.S. does not have the capability or desire to engage into a war with North
Korea which may be assisted by China as well as Russia in such case and nobody
wants to start World War III. North Korea is aware that the U.S. will not
engage into a war and enjoys the comfort of knowing it can deal with South
Korea comfortably.
In addition the North is aware of the fact that the U.S.
anti-missile defense system is useless and has not intercepted a target since
2008. The next few weeks will be crucial for all of us. David Cameron said that
it is important to defend against the North Korean nuclear threat and we have
to shift around assets and make sure we will capitalize on the events while we
ensure the situation will not escalate further.
2 comments:
There will be no war, North Korea only do this for the rest of the world will come running and give them more food, medicine, lift the embargoes, etc. absolutely free just they just stop threatening the world with war. Nrodkorea have no strong army, only a lot of people in them that has not more than a few shots each to their old weapons.
Well, there may be no full-blown war but they do have a very powerful military. They may not have the newest technology, but they have a lot of it which is very dangerous.
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